In the pandemic, organizations quickly learned how to deal with the Corona virus. Pandemics run according to natural laws, and we were able to adjust to what to expect and how to deal with it.
The current Ukraine war is not proceeding according to natural laws, nor are the developments and decisions that led there. We had to witness how politics and business were guided by serious misjudgments.
Social systems tend to reinterpret something unexpected into something expected, so that their own picture of the world can be confirmed. The financial mathematician Nassim Nicholas Taleb describes this phenomenon in his book “The Black Swan: The Power of Improbable Events.”
From a systemic-constructivist perspective, it can be explained why social systems tend to negate the black swan or reinterpret it as a white swan.
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Organizational challenges 2022
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Head of Corporate Communications
Senior Consultant and Authorized Officer